Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.