Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Molde had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.4%) and 1-0 (4.94%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.