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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 20
Aug 28, 2022 at 5pm UK
Aker Stadion

Molde
4 - 1
Sarpsborg

Hussain (13'), Horn (29' og.), Brynhildsen (43'), Grodem (80')
Zekhnini (68')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Heintz (24')
Jorgen Halvorsen (21'), Thomassen (89')
Skipper (34')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Molde and Sarpsborg 08.

Form, Standings, Stats

Molde

Last Six:
Last Game: Wolfsberger 0-4 Molde
Thursday, August 25 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Sarpsborg 08

Last Six:
Last Game: Odd 1-0 Sarpsborg
Saturday, August 20 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 73.58%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 3-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 1-2 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
MoldeDrawSarpsborg 08
73.58% (0.082000000000008 0.08)15.23% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)11.19% (-0.072999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 57.92% (-0.252 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.69% (-0.179 -0.18)29.31% (0.178 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.65% (-0.218 -0.22)50.35% (0.217 0.22)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.16% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)6.83% (0.025 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.83% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)25.17% (0.067 0.07)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.17% (-0.254 -0.25)37.83% (0.253 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.4% (-0.246 -0.25)74.6% (0.245 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Molde 73.58%
    Sarpsborg 08 11.19%
    Draw 15.23%
MoldeDrawSarpsborg 08
2-0 @ 9.31% (0.071 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.33% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 8.09% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 6.94% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 5.58% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
4-1 @ 5.43% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.93% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-0 @ 3% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.91% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.64% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 1.3% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 73.58%
1-1 @ 6.74% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.59% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 15.23%
1-2 @ 3.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 2.51% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.22% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 11.19%

How you voted: Molde vs Sarpsborg

Molde
100%
Draw
0.0%
Sarpsborg 08
0.0%
6
Head to Head
May 26, 2022 7pm
Sarpsborg
1-2
Molde
Heintz (66')
Grodem (51'), Fofana (69')
Karlstrom (83')
Jul 4, 2021 5pm
Sarpsborg
1-0
Molde
Skalevik (74')
Thomassen (20'), Saletros (34'), Soltvedt (37')
Saletros (88')

Omoijuanfo (67')
Jun 16, 2021 5pm
Molde
4-1
Sarpsborg
Omoijuanfo (51'), Ulland Andersen (56'), Bjornbak (76'), Risa (90+1')
Omoijuanfo (78')
Fardal Opseth (84')
Apr 11, 2021 5pm
Molde
P-P
Sarpsborg
Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
Molde
5-0
Sarpsborg
James (25' pen.), Mostrom (27'), Omoijuanfo (38', 56'), Ellingsen (88')

Heintz (24'), Adeoti (90+1')