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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Tele2 Arena
Gent

Djurgarden
4 - 2
Gent

Holmberg (21'), Wikheim (42', 46'), Banda (45+4')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Depoitre (61'), Cuypers (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Djurgardens IF and Gent, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Djurgardens IF

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Djurgarden 0-1 Hacken
Sunday, October 9 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Gent

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Eupen 0-4 Gent
Sunday, October 9 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 56.57%. A win for Gent had a probability of 22.5% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.69%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.

Result
Djurgardens IFDrawGent
56.57% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)20.93% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)22.5% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 62.68% (0.285 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.98% (0.328 0.33)35.02% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.99% (0.362 0.36)57.01% (-0.361 -0.36)
Djurgardens IF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.63% (0.097999999999999 0.1)12.36% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.79% (0.206 0.21)38.21% (-0.206 -0.21)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (0.24600000000001 0.25)28.48% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75% (0.305 0.31)64.25% (-0.30500000000001 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Djurgardens IF 56.57%
    Gent 22.5%
    Draw 20.93%
Djurgardens IFDrawGent
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.36% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.36% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.23% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.52% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.21% (0.027 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.93% (0.017 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 56.57%
1-1 @ 9.25% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.52% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.77% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.93%
1-2 @ 5.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.42% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 22.5%

How you voted: Djurgarden vs Gent

Djurgardens IF
45.5%
Draw
27.3%
Gent
27.3%
22
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 8pm
Group F
Gent
0-1
Djurgarden
Danielsson (38')
Ekdal (67')