Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Gent had a probability of 22.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Gent win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genk in this match.