Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 6pm UK
Tele2 Arena
Sepsi

Djurgarden
3 - 1
Sepsi

Finndell (12'), Asoro (23', 71')
Edvardsen (1'), Danielsson (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gabriel Matei (8')
Paun (21'), Ninaj (79'), Mitrea (83'), Rodriguez (86')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Djurgardens IF and Sepsi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Varnamo 0-0 Djurgarden
Sunday, August 7 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Sepsi 1-3 Djurgarden
Thursday, August 4 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Sepsi had a probability of 17.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Sepsi win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.

Result
Djurgardens IFDrawSepsi
60.2% (0.015000000000001 0.02)22.35% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)17.45% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.27% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.3% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)48.71% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.19% (-0.02 -0.02)70.82% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Djurgardens IF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.24% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)15.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)44.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Sepsi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.49% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)41.51% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22% (-0.026 -0.03)78% (0.02600000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Djurgardens IF 60.19%
    Sepsi 17.45%
    Draw 22.34%
Djurgardens IFDrawSepsi
1-0 @ 12.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.88% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 60.19%
1-1 @ 10.62%
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 22.34%
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 17.45%

How you voted: Djurgarden vs Sepsi

Djurgardens IF
86.7%
Draw
6.7%
Sepsi
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2022 7pm
Sepsi
1-3
Djurgarden
Tudorie (79' pen.)
Aganovic (25'), Mitrea (31'), Rodriguez (63'), Damascan (80')
Edvardsen (26' pen.), Asoro (31', 53')
Finndell (36'), Widell Zetterstrom (90+4')