UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 21, 2022 at 7pm UK

Sepsi
3 - 1
Ljubljana

(3-3 on aggregate)

Stefanescu (45+4'), Paun (84'), Karamatic (90+3' og.)
Balasa (80')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Seslar (4')
Kvesic (40'), Sualehe (45+2'), Pilj (53'), Vidovsek (85')
Seslar (66')

Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Sepsi and NK Olimpija Ljubljana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sepsi

Last Game: Sepsi 1-1 Spartak Trnava (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, July 29 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League

NK Olimpija Ljubljana

Last Game: Differdange 1-2 Ljubljana
Thursday, July 14 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sepsi win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sepsi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sepsi would win this match.

Result
Sepsi	Draw	NK Olimpija Ljubljana
42.69%	25.5%	31.81%

Both teams to score 54.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.13%

48.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.03%

70.96%

Sepsi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.2%

22.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.5%

56.49%

NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.1%

28.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.22%

64.77%

Score Analysis

Sepsi 42.69%

NK Olimpija Ljubljana 31.81%

Draw 25.5%

Sepsi	Draw	NK Olimpija Ljubljana
1-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 7.2% 3-1 @ 4.41% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.16% Total : 42.69%	1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.59% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 8.18% 1-2 @ 7.51% 0-2 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.81%