Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.