Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 55.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.