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UEFA Conference League

Sepsi
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 7pm UK
 

Sepsi
1 - 3
Djurgarden

Tudorie (79' pen.)
Aganovic (25'), Mitrea (31'), Rodriguez (63'), Damascan (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Edvardsen (26' pen.), Asoro (31', 53')
Finndell (36'), Widell Zetterstrom (90+4')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Sepsi and Djurgardens IF.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sepsi

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Last Game: Ljubljana 2-0 Sepsi (2-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Djurgardens IF

Last Six:
Last Game: Djurgarden 2-0 Rijeka
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Sepsi had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Sepsi win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.

Result
SepsiDrawDjurgardens IF
29.35% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)23.9% (0.021999999999998 0.02)46.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.03% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.13% (-0.117 -0.12)42.87% (0.122 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.73% (-0.118 -0.12)65.27% (0.121 0.12)
Sepsi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)27.54% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94% (-0.1 -0.1)63.06% (0.104 0.1)
Djurgardens IF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)18.53% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.24% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)49.76% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sepsi 29.35%
    Djurgardens IF 46.76%
    Draw 23.89%
SepsiDrawDjurgardens IF
2-1 @ 7.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-0 @ 6.58% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.24% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 29.35%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 9.35% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 8.6% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.25% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.26% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.08% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 3.39% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.22% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 46.76%

How you voted: Sepsi vs Djurgarden

Sepsi
35.3%
Draw
17.6%
Djurgardens IF
47.1%
17