Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Apr 8, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
1 - 1
Spezia

Wisniewski (25' og.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

N'Zola (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cremonese 0-2 Fiorentina
Wednesday, April 5 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Spezia

All competitions

Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Salernitana
Sunday, April 2 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 76.98%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 8.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.56%) and 1-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Spezia
76.98% ( 0.01)	14.74% ( -0.01)	8.27% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 46.94% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.1% (

36.9% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.92% (

59.08% (

-0.01)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.11%

7.88% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.09% (

0.01)

27.91% (

-0.01)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.95% (

-0.02)

49.04% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.01% (

-0.01)

83.99% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 76.97%

Spezia 8.28%

Draw 14.74%

Fiorentina	Draw	Spezia
2-0 @ 12.47% 3-0 @ 10.56% 1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.53% 4-0 @ 6.71% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.43% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.7% 6-0 @ 1.44% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.52% Total : 76.97%	1-1 @ 7% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 14.74%	0-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.49% ( -0) 0-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 8.28%