Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 76.98%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 8.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.56%) and 1-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Spezia |
76.98% ( 0.01) | 14.74% ( -0.01) | 8.27% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 46.94% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.1% ( 0) | 36.9% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.92% ( 0) | 59.08% ( -0.01) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.11% | 7.88% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.09% ( 0.01) | 27.91% ( -0.01) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.95% ( -0.02) | 49.04% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.01% ( -0.01) | 83.99% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 12.47% 3-0 @ 10.56% 1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.53% 4-0 @ 6.71% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.43% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.7% 6-0 @ 1.44% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.52% Total : 76.97% | 1-1 @ 7% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 14.74% | 0-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.49% ( -0) 0-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 8.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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