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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Inter logo

Spezia
2 - 1
Inter Milan

Maldini (55'), N'Zola (87' pen.)
Gyasi (6'), Caldara (12'), Nikolaou (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lukaku (83' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, March 5 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-2 Inter Milan

While they have had challenges on the road of late, Inter have had almost a week to prepare for the visit to Spezia and have time to recover for next week's Champions League clash, thus allowing Inzaghi's team to go full throttle in both fixtures. The Aquilotti are still unbeaten under Semplici, but they are unlikely to be a match for the Nerazzurri on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 70.73%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 12.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-3 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawInter Milan
12.41% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01) 16.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 70.73% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.44% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.75% (0.022000000000006 0.02)34.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.86% (0.024999999999999 0.02)56.14% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.66% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)39.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)76.04% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)8.6% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.29% (0.02000000000001 0.02)29.71% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 12.41%
    Inter Milan 70.72%
    Draw 16.87%
SpeziaDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 3.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 3.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.38%
3-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 12.41%
1-1 @ 7.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.43%
0-0 @ 3.38% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 16.87%
0-2 @ 10.18%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 8.33%
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 5.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 4.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 2.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-5 @ 2.34% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 2.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-5 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-6 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-6 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 70.72%

How you voted: Spezia vs Inter Milan

Spezia
8.8%
Draw
10.8%
Inter Milan
80.4%
148
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 15, 2022 6pm
Spezia
1-3
Inter Milan
Maggiore (88')
Bastoni (10'), Nikolaou (86')
Brozovic (31'), Martinez (73'), Sanchez (90+3')
Dec 1, 2021 5.30pm
Inter Milan
2-0
Spezia
Gagliardini (36'), Martinez (58' pen.)
Martinez (44')

Manaj (31'), Kiwior (57')
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 20, 2020 2pm
Inter Milan
2-1
Spezia
Hakimi (52'), Lukaku (71' pen.)
Brozovic (18'), Conte (64')
Piccoli (90+4')
N'Zola (41'), Terzi (42')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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