Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 26

Mar 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
2 - 1
Inter Milan

Maldini (55'), N'Zola (87' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lukaku (83' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions

Last Game: Spezia 0-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, March 5 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, March 5 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 70.73%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 12.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-3 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Inter Milan
12.41% ( -0.01)	16.87% ( -0.01)	70.73% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.44% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.75% (

0.02)

34.24% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.86% (

0.02)

56.14% (

-0.02)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.66% (

0.01)

39.34% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.96% (

0.01)

76.04% (

-0.01)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.4% (

0.01)

8.6% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.29% (

0.02)

29.71% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Spezia 12.41%

Inter Milan 70.72%

Draw 16.87%

Spezia	Draw	Inter Milan
2-1 @ 3.61% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.16% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.38% 3-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.66% Total : 12.41%	1-1 @ 7.75% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.43% 0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 16.87%	0-2 @ 10.18% 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 8.33% 0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.77% ( 0) 0-4 @ 5.11% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.76% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0) 0-5 @ 2.51% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.34% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.22% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.09% ( 0) 0-6 @ 1.02% ( 0) 1-6 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 70.72%