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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Hellas Verona logo

Spezia
0 - 0
Hellas Verona


Reca (89'), Zurkowski (90+5')
Marchetti (82')
FT

Terracciano (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Spezia
Sunday, February 26 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-3 Fiorentina
Monday, February 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Hellas Verona

Spezia (six) and Verona (five) are among the three lowest-scoring teams in the second half of Serie A matches this term. The Aquilotti are also the only side yet to score via a substitute; Hellas have netted only once through their subs - and not since August. A tight draw could be on the cards, then, with either side unable to change the game and take three precious points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawHellas Verona
34.64% (-0.793 -0.79) 26.23% (0.148 0.15) 39.13% (0.647 0.65)
Both teams to score 53.29% (-0.591 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.71% (-0.71 -0.71)51.29% (0.711 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.88% (-0.622 -0.62)73.12% (0.624 0.62)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.72% (-0.821 -0.82)28.28% (0.823 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36% (-1.05 -1.05)64% (1.052 1.05)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.31% (0.025999999999996 0.03)25.69% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.39% (0.034999999999997 0.03)60.6% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 34.64%
    Hellas Verona 39.13%
    Draw 26.23%
SpeziaDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-0 @ 5.79% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.64%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.205 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 9.87% (0.285 0.29)
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.71% (0.198 0.2)
1-3 @ 3.84% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.04% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 39.13%

How you voted: Spezia vs Hellas Verona

Spezia
50.0%
Draw
23.3%
Hellas Verona
26.7%
60
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Hellas Verona
1-2
Spezia
Verdi (30')
N'Zola (53', 69')
Ampadu (32')
Jan 6, 2022 1.30pm
Spezia
1-2
Hellas Verona
Erlic (85')
Verde (75'), Agudelo (78'), Zoet (87')
Agudelo (87')
Caprari (59', 70')
Veloso (29'), Casale (45')
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
Hellas Verona
4-0
Spezia
Simeone (4'), Faraoni (15'), Caprari (42'), Bessa (71')
Caprari (28')

Ferrer (40')
Bastoni (82')
May 1, 2021 2pm
Hellas Verona
1-1
Spezia
Salcedo (46')
Zaccagni (15'), Dawidowicz (38'), Sturaro (40'), Ilic (69'), Tameze (71'), Faraoni (84')
Saponara (86')
N'Zola (13'), Chabot (50')
Jan 3, 2021 2pm
Spezia
0-1
Hellas Verona

Chabot (12'), Estevez (35'), Pobega (66'), Erlic (77'), Agoume (79')
Chabot (69')
Zaccagni (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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