Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Hellas Verona
1 - 2
Spezia

Verdi (30')

FT(HT: 1-0)

N'Zola (53', 69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Juventus
Thursday, November 10 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Spezia

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Udinese
Tuesday, November 8 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Hellas Verona	Draw	Spezia
40.01% ( 0.2)	25.41% ( 0.75)	34.58% ( -0.95)

Both teams to score 56.02% (

-2.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.21% (

-3.55)

47.78% (

3.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.03% (

-3.36)

69.97% (

3.36)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.35% (

-1.46)

23.64% (

1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.26% (

-2.15)

57.74% (

2.15)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.36% (

-2.22)

26.63% (

2.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.13% (

-3.03)

61.87% (

3.02)

Score Analysis

Hellas Verona 40.01%

Spezia 34.58%

Draw 25.41%

Hellas Verona	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.92) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.31) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.01%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.51) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.88) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.37) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.58%