Serie A Gameweek 13
AC Milan
Nov 5, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Spezia
  • Theo Hernandez 21' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 89' goal
  • goal Daniel Maldini 59'

AC Milan vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Oct 30, 2022 7.45pm
Torino 2 - 1 AC Milan
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Oct 30, 2022 2.00pm
Spezia 1 - 2 Fiorentina
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Mbala N'Zola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 79.05%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 6.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.59%) and 1-0 (10.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result

AC Milan 79.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 14.02%
Spezia 6.93% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.6% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.28% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 38.71% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 38.97% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 61.02% ▼ (-0.06)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 92.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 7.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 72.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 27.82% ▼ (-0.03)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 46.23% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 53.77% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 12.87% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 87.13% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

AC Milan 79.03%
Draw 14.02%
Spezia 6.93%
AC Milan
2-0 @ 13.66% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 11.59% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 10.73% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 7.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 79.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 14.02%
Spezia
0-1 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 6.93%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 22
AC Milan
Jan 17, 2022 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Spezia
  • Pierre Kalulu 22' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 45'+1' goal
  • Matteo Gabbia 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Gyasi 19'
  • yellowcard Jakub Kiwior 32'
  • yellowcard Ivan Provedel 44'
  • goal Kevin Agudelo 64'
  • yellowcard Giulio Maggiore 65'
  • yellowcard Simone Bastoni 90'+2'
  • goal Emmanuel Gyasi 90'+6'
Serie A Gameweek 6
Spezia
Sep 25, 2021 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
AC Milan
  • Jacopo Sala 25' yellowcard
  • Daniele Verde 80' goal
  • Dimitrios Nikolaou 89' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel Maldini 48'
  • yellowcard Daniel Maldini 58'
  • goal Brahim Diaz 86'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 90'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Spezia
Feb 13, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
AC Milan
  • Luca Vignali 23' yellowcard
  • Simone Bastoni 25' yellowcard
  • Giulio Maggiore 56' goal
  • Martin Erlic 58' yellowcard
  • Simone Bastoni 67' goal
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 65'
Serie A Gameweek 3
AC Milan
Oct 4, 2020 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Spezia
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 47' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 57' goal
  • Theo Hernandez 76' goal
  • Rafael Leao 78' goal
  • yellowcard Matteo Ricci 32'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Gyasi 40'
Coppa Italia
AC Milan
Jan 15, 2014 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Spezia
  • Keisuke Honda 18' yellowcard
  • Robinho 28' goal
  • Giampaolo Pazzini 31' goal
  • Philippe Mexes 44' yellowcard
  • Keisuke Honda 47' goal
  • yellowcard Andrea Catellani 16'
  • goal Nicola Ferrari 90'

Form Data

AC Milan 4 - 0 Salzburg
Torino 2 - 1 AC Milan
Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 4 AC Milan
AC Milan 4 - 1 Monza
Hellas Verona 1 - 2 AC Milan
AC Milan 0 - 2 Chelsea
Spezia 1 - 2 Fiorentina
Salernitana 1 - 0 Spezia
Spezia 3 - 1 Brescia
Spezia 2 - 2 Cremonese
Monza 2 - 0 Spezia
Lazio 4 - 0 Spezia