Champions League
Nov 2, 2022 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Olivier Giroud 14' goal
  • Rade Krunic 46' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 57' goal
  • Junior Messias 90'+1' goal

AC Milan vs Red Bull Salzburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 25, 2022 8.00pm
Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 4 AC Milan

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 25, 2022 5.45pm
Salzburg 1 - 2 Chelsea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.75%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result

AC Milan 42.52% (-0.09)
Draw 22.36% (+0.03)
Red Bull Salzburg 35.11% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.43% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.02% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 32.97% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 45.3% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 54.69% (+0.11)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 83.73% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 16.27% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 54.19% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 45.81% (+0.13)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5 80.53% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 19.47% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 48.67% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 51.32% (+0.02)

Score analysis

AC Milan 42.52%
Draw 22.36%
Red Bull Salzburg 35.11%
AC Milan
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.75% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.22%
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.23% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 42.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.41% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.99% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.17% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.36%
Red Bull Salzburg
1-2 @ 7.7% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.18% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.24% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.2% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.81% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.31% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.56% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 35.11%

Head to Head

Champions League
Sep 6, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Noah Okafor 28' goal
  • goal Alexis Saelemaekers 40'