Red Bull Salzburg
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Dinamo Zagreb

Salzburg
1 - 0
Dinamo Zagreb

Okafor (71' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Red Bull Salzburg and Dinamo Zagreb, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Salzburg
Wednesday, September 14 at 8pm in Champions League
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Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Wednesday, September 14 at 5.45pm in Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Dinamo Zagreb win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Red Bull Salzburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Red Bull Salzburg.

Result
Red Bull SalzburgDrawDinamo Zagreb
55.62% (0.027999999999999 0.03)23.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)21.34% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.6% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)46.23% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)68.52% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54% (0.007000000000005 0.01)16.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.84% (0.015000000000001 0.02)46.15% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)35.84% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.38% (-0.026 -0.03)72.62% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Red Bull Salzburg 55.62%
    Dinamo Zagreb 21.34%
    Draw 23.04%
Red Bull SalzburgDrawDinamo Zagreb
1-0 @ 10.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.6% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.93% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.67% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.37%
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 55.62%
1-1 @ 10.92%
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.04%
0-1 @ 6.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.11% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 21.34%

How you voted: Salzburg vs Dinamo Zagreb

Red Bull Salzburg
65.6%
Draw
13.0%
Dinamo Zagreb
21.4%
285
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2014 6pm
Group D
Dinamo Zagreb
1-5
Salzburg
Henriquez (60')
Pinto (15'), Brozovic (51'), Ademi (76'), Simunovic (80')
Soriano (40', 64', 85'), Kampl (59'), Bruno (71')
Ilsanker (50'), Ulmer (52'), Laimer (87')
Oct 23, 2014 8.05pm
Group D
Salzburg
4-2
Dinamo Zagreb
Alan (13', 45', 52'), Ramalho (49')
Ilsanker (95')
Ademi (81'), Henriquez (89')
Sigali (44'), Vukojevic (82')
rhs 2.0


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