Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Udinese |
25.35% ( -0.01) | 23.13% ( -0) | 51.52% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 58.27% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.64% ( 0) | 42.36% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.24% ( 0) | 64.76% ( -0) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.8% ( -0.01) | 30.2% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.64% ( -0.01) | 66.36% ( 0.01) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.48% ( 0.01) | 16.51% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.74% ( 0.01) | 46.25% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Udinese |
2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.97% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 25.35% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.86% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.62% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.19% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 51.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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