Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.