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Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2022 at 2pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Hellas Verona logo

Monza
2 - 0
Hellas Verona

Augusto (68'), Colpani (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 1-2 Bologna
Monday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-3 Roma
Monday, October 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawHellas Verona
44.41% (-1.552 -1.55)24.8% (0.13 0.13)30.79% (1.42 1.42)
Both teams to score 56.78% (0.372 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.8% (0.124 0.12)46.2% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.5% (0.115 0.11)68.49% (-0.116 -0.12)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13% (-0.629 -0.63)20.86% (0.628 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.44% (-0.995 -0.99)53.56% (0.994 0.99)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (1.031 1.03)28.24% (-1.032 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (1.284 1.28)63.95% (-1.286 -1.29)
Score Analysis
    Monza 44.41%
    Hellas Verona 30.79%
    Draw 24.79%
MonzaDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 9.24% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.24% (-0.325 -0.33)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.247 -0.25)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 44.41%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.89% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.078 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.45% (0.173 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.38% (0.24 0.24)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.239 0.24)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.186 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.155 0.16)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 30.79%

How you voted: Monza vs Hellas Verona

Monza
75.0%
Draw
18.2%
Hellas Verona
6.8%
44