Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 44.41% ( | 24.8% ( | 30.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.8% ( | 46.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.5% ( | 68.49% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.13% ( | 20.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.44% ( | 53.56% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.75% ( | 28.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.04% ( | 63.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 9.24% ( 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 4-2 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.41% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 3-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 1-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 30.79% |