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Serie A

Hellas Verona logo
Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 13, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Salernitana

Hellas Verona
1 - 0
Salernitana

Ngonge (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

All competitions
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Lazio
Monday, February 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Salernitana

All competitions
Last Game: Salernitana 0-3 Juventus
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 24.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hellas Verona in this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawSalernitana
50.46% (0.057000000000002 0.06)25.09% (-0.158 -0.16)24.45% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 51.02% (0.572 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.49% (0.70500000000001 0.71)51.51% (-0.705 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.69% (0.611 0.61)73.31% (-0.61199999999999 -0.61)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (0.30499999999999 0.3)20.42% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (0.485 0.48)52.86% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.11% (0.475 0.48)35.89% (-0.476 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.33% (0.483 0.48)72.66% (-0.485 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 50.46%
    Salernitana 24.45%
    Draw 25.09%
Hellas VeronaDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 11.64% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.25% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.02% (0.065 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 50.46%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.209 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.45%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Salernitana

Hellas Verona
65.2%
Draw
17.4%
Salernitana
17.4%
132
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Salernitana
2-1
Hellas Verona
Piatek (18'), Dia (90+4')
Piatek (22')
Depaoli (56')
Jan 9, 2022 7.45pm
Hellas Verona
1-2
Salernitana
Lazovic (63')
Gunter (90+2')
Ilic (89')
Djuric (29' pen.), Kastanos (70')
Kastanos (31'), Gyomber (36'), Di Tacchio (89')
Sep 22, 2021 5.30pm
Salernitana
2-2
Hellas Verona
Gondo (45+2'), Coulibaly (76')
Gagliolo (84'), Coulibaly (86')
Kalinic (7', 29')
Kalinic (37'), Magnani (41'), Dawidowicz (90')
Feb 22, 2019 8pm
Hellas Verona
1-0
Salernitana
Pazzini (71')
Pazzini (28'), Zaccagni (69'), Empereur (90')
Empereur (90')

Lopez (7'), Gigliotti (21'), Mazzarani (41'), Di Tacchio (55'), Mantovani (87'), Casasola (90')
Casasola (90')
Sep 29, 2018 2pm
Salernitana
1-0
Hellas Verona
Jallow (68')
Castiglia (49'), Jallow (69'), Di Tacchio (90')

Colombatto (32'), Laribi (90'), Henderson (94')