Serie A Gameweek 18
Atalanta
Jan 15, 2023 5.00pm
8
2
HT : 5 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
Salernitana
  • Jeremie Boga 5' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 20' goal
  • Giorgio Scalvini 23' goal
  • Teun Koopmeiners 38' goal
  • Rasmus Hojlund 41' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 54' goal
  • Ederson 61' goal
  • Nadir Zortea 85' goal
  • goal Boulaye Dia 10'
  • goal Hans Nicolussi 56'

Atalanta BC vs Salernitana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Jan 9, 2023 7.45pm
Bologna 1 - 2 Atalanta
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Ademola Lookman

Salernitana

All competitions
Last game
Jan 8, 2023 11.30am
Salernitana 1 - 1 Torino
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Boulaye Dia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 8-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result

Atalanta BC 66.7% ▼ (-0.64)
Draw 19.86% ▲ (+0.28)
Salernitana 13.43% ▲ (+0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.79% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.22% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 2.5 45.77% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 3.5 31.91% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 3.5 68.08% ▲ (+0.40)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 87.19% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 0.5 12.8% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 1.5 60.87% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 1.5 39.12% ▲ (+0.63)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5 54.81% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 0.5 45.19% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 1.5 18.91% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 1.5 81.08% ▼ (-0.23)

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 66.69%
Draw 19.86%
Salernitana 13.43%
Atalanta BC
2-0 @ 12.22% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 11.89% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.71% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 8.37% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.08)
5-1 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 66.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 19.86%
Salernitana
0-1 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.12)
1-2 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 13.43%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 35
Atalanta
May 2, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Salernitana
  • Merih Demiral 37' yellowcard
  • Jose Luis Palomino 38' yellowcard
  • Mario Pasalic 88' goal
  • Remo Freuler 90' yellowcard
  • goal Ederson 27'
  • yellowcard Milan Djuric 38'
  • yellowcard Simone Verdi 58'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Salernitana
Sep 18, 2021 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Atalanta
  • Milan Djuric 45' yellowcard
  • Luca Ranieri 60' yellowcard
  • Joel Obi 73' yellowcard
  • Pawel Jaroszynski 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joakim Maehle 16'
  • yellowcard Rafael Toloi 38'
  • yellowcard Merih Demiral 45'
  • yellowcard Ruslan Malinovskyi 56'
  • goal Duvan Zapata 75'

Form Data

Bologna 1 - 2 Atalanta
Spezia 2 - 2 Atalanta
Atalanta 2 - 3 Inter Milan
Lecce 2 - 1 Atalanta
Atalanta 1 - 2 Napoli
Empoli 0 - 2 Atalanta
Salernitana 1 - 1 Torino
Salernitana 1 - 2 AC Milan
Fenerbahce 3 - 0 Salernitana
Monza 3 - 0 Salernitana
Fiorentina 2 - 1 Salernitana
Salernitana 2 - 2 Cremonese