Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 14

Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Salernitana

Bonaventura (15'), Jovic (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dia (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Sampdoria 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Cremonese
Saturday, November 5 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 70.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 11.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Salernitana
70.81% ( 0.77)	17.89% ( -0.25)	11.3% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 47.78% (

-0.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.73% (

-0.27)

42.27% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.32% (

-0.27)

64.67% (

0.27)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.31% (

0.12)

10.68% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.42% (

0.28)

34.57% (

-0.28)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.49% (

-1.09)

46.5% (

1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.89% (

-0.85)

82.11% (

0.84)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 70.8%

Salernitana 11.3%

Draw 17.89%

Fiorentina	Draw	Salernitana
2-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.94% Total : 70.8%	1-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.77% Total : 17.89%	0-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.85% Total : 11.3%