Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Cremonese |
| 41.39% ( | 26.13% | 32.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.64% | 51.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.82% ( | 73.18% ( |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% | 24.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41% ( | 59% ( |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.3% ( | 29.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.24% ( | 65.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Cremonese |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.38% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 1-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.48% |