Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 19.3% ( | 24.02% ( | 56.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.32% ( | 52.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.68% ( | 74.32% ( |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.32% ( | 41.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.85% ( | 78.15% ( |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.57% ( | 18.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.41% ( | 49.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 6.72% ( 2-1 @ 4.98% ( 2-0 @ 2.94% ( 3-1 @ 1.45% ( 3-2 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 19.3% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 2-2 @ 4.21% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 12.98% ( 0-2 @ 10.98% ( 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0-3 @ 6.19% ( 1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0-4 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 1-4 @ 2.29% ( 2-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 56.67% |