Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Fiorentina |
19.3% ( -0.18) | 24.02% ( 0.09) | 56.68% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 47.58% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.32% ( -0.57) | 52.68% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.68% ( -0.49) | 74.32% ( 0.49) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.32% ( -0.54) | 41.67% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.85% ( -0.47) | 78.15% ( 0.47) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.57% ( -0.18) | 18.43% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.41% ( -0.3) | 49.59% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.99% Total : 19.3% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 10.98% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 6.19% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.19% Total : 56.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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