/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fspecallog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fatllog_1.png)
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Emmanuel Gyasi
8'
-
Mbala N'Zola
31'
-
Rasmus Hojlund
77'
-
Mario Pasalic
90'+2'
Spezia vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result
Spezia
19.84%
▲
(+1.83)
Draw
22.22%
▲
(+1.25)
Atalanta BC
57.94%
▼
(-3.08)
Both Teams to Score:
53.97%
▼
(-0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.4%
▼
(-2.76)
Under 2.5
44.59%
▲
(+2.76)
Over 3.5
33.04%
▼
(-2.72)
Under 3.5
66.96%
▲
(+2.72)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5
63.58%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 0.5
36.42%
▼
(-0.37)
Over 1.5
26.79%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 1.5
73.21%
▼
(-0.37)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5
84.89%
▼
(-1.87)
Under 0.5
15.11%
▲
(+1.86)
Over 1.5
56.34%
▼
(-3.64)
Under 1.5
43.66%
▲
(+3.64)
Score analysis
Spezia
19.84%
Draw
22.22%
Atalanta BC
57.93%
Spezia
1-0
@
5.56%
▲
(+0.69)
2-1 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.38)
2-0 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.38)
3-1 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 19.84%
2-1 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.38)
2-0 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.38)
3-1 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 19.84%
Draw
1-1
@
10.5%
▲
(+0.65)
0-0 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.63)
2-2 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.22%
0-0 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.63)
2-2 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.22%
Atalanta BC
0-1
@
10.39%
▲
(+0.54)
1-2 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.46)
0-3 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.52)
2-3 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.20)
1-4 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.44)
0-4 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.47)
2-4 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.21)
1-5 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.26)
0-5 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 57.93%
1-2 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.46)
0-3 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.52)
2-3 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.20)
1-4 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.44)
0-4 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.47)
2-4 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.21)
1-5 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.26)
0-5 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 57.93%
