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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 16
Jan 4, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Arechi
Milan logo

Salernitana
1 - 2
AC Milan

Bonazzoli (83')
Piatek (73'), Bradaric (76'), Coulibaly (81'), Daniliuc (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Leao (10'), Tonali (15')
Giroud (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-0 Salernitana
Saturday, December 10 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: PSV 3-0 AC Milan
Friday, December 30 at 5.15pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Salernitana 1-2 AC Milan

Milan must keep winning in order to stay in touch with Napoli at a key stage of the season, and we are expecting the reigning champions to navigate their way to an important three points on Wednesday, but they might have to suffer for stages of the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Salernitana win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawAC Milan
21.36% (1.157 1.16) 21.39% (0.073 0.07) 57.25% (-1.225 -1.23)
Both teams to score 59.27% (1.601 1.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.27% (1.265 1.27)38.73% (-1.261 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.96% (1.321 1.32)61.03% (-1.317 -1.32)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42% (1.816 1.82)31.58% (-1.81 -1.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.02% (2.043 2.04)67.98% (-2.038 -2.04)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.63% (0.045000000000002 0.05)13.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.73% (0.087000000000003 0.09)40.27% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 21.36%
    AC Milan 57.25%
    Draw 21.39%
SalernitanaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 5.64% (0.231 0.23)
1-0 @ 4.87% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.81% (0.111 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.194 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.17% (0.19 0.19)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 21.36%
1-1 @ 9.79% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.241 0.24)
0-0 @ 4.22% (-0.256 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.39%
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 8.55% (-0.491 -0.49)
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.502 -0.5)
1-3 @ 6.61% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.73% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-3 @ 3.81% (0.168 0.17)
1-4 @ 3.32% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.88% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-4 @ 1.92% (0.087 0.09)
1-5 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.16% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 57.25%

How you voted: Salernitana vs AC Milan

Salernitana
11.3%
Draw
13.5%
AC Milan
75.2%
133
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 7.45pm
Salernitana
2-2
AC Milan
Bonazzoli (29'), Djuric (72')
Ederson (52'), Djuric (72')
Messias (5'), Rebic (77')
Bennacer (35'), Giroud (60'), Rebic (70'), Romagnoli (83')
Dec 4, 2021 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan34285181186389
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna341712549272263
5Roma34178961412059
6Atalanta BCAtalanta331761061372457
7Lazio34174134335855
8Fiorentina331481150371350
9Napoli341311105243950
10Torino341113103131046
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa341012123840-242
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari34711163659-2332
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3487192650-2431
18Udinese34417133251-1929
19SassuoloSassuolo3468204070-3026
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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