Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
3 - 0
Salernitana

Augusto (24'), Mota (35'), Pessina (75' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Monza
Thursday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Salernitana
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Salernitana
59.59% ( 0.21)	22.19% ( -0.02)	18.22% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 51.24% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.17% (

-0.2)

46.83% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.91% (

-0.18)

69.09% (

0.18)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.67% (

15.32% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.93% (

44.07% (

-0.01)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.51% (

-0.33)

39.49% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.82% (

-0.31)

76.18% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Monza 59.58%

Salernitana 18.22%

Draw 22.18%

Monza	Draw	Salernitana
1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.36% Total : 59.58%	1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.18%	0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.22%