Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.32%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.48%) and 3-1 (6.38%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.