Friendlies

Dec 16, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Al Maktoum Stadium

Liverpool
4 - 1
AC Milan

Salah (5'), Alcantara (41'), Nunez (82', 88')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Saelemaekers (29')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions

Club Friendlies 1

Last Game: Liverpool 1-3 Lyon
Sunday, December 11 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Club Friendlies 1

Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 AC Milan
Tuesday, December 13 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 49.68%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	AC Milan
49.68% ( -0.06)	22.28% ( 0)	28.04% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 63.89% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.95% (

0.04)

36.05% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.85% (

0.05)

58.15% (

-0.05)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.14% (

-0.01)

14.86% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.81% (

-0.01)

43.19% (

0.01)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.04% (

0.06)

24.95% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.41% (

0.09)

59.59% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Liverpool 49.68%

AC Milan 28.04%

Draw 22.28%

Liverpool	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 49.68%	1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.28%	1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.15% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 28.04%