Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 77.6%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 8.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.41%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.