Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 77.6%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 8.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.41%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Leeds United |
77.6% ( -0) | 13.87% | 8.53% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 52% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.73% ( 0) | 31.26% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.3% ( 0) | 52.7% ( -0.01) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.49% ( -0) | 6.51% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.71% ( -0) | 24.28% ( -0) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.62% ( 0.01) | 44.38% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.56% ( 0.01) | 80.43% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Leeds United |
2-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.76% 3-1 @ 7.98% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.71% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.45% 5-0 @ 3.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.98% 4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.67% 6-1 @ 1.36% 5-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.9% Total : 77.59% | 1-1 @ 6.41% 2-2 @ 3.56% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( -0) Other @ 1.01% Total : 13.87% | 1-2 @ 2.6% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 0.96% 0-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.66% Total : 8.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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