Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 65.17%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Lyon win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.