MX23RW : Sunday, January 19 08:37:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Nice

Lyon
1 - 1
Nice

Lacazette (89' pen.)
Tagliafico (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pepe (38' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Lyon
Sunday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Brest
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 1-0 Nice

Nice may be in better form at the moment, however, only two of their last six league matches have been against teams in the top half of the table (Paris Saint-Germain and Lorient). On the opposite side, Lyon have kept their matches close of late, with their last eight fixtures being decided by a goal or fewer, and we believe the quality of Lacazette and Dembele will be enough to earn them three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 60.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
LyonDrawNice
60.26% (-0.111 -0.11) 21.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 18.41% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 54.42% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.22% (-0.124 -0.12)42.77% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.82% (-0.123 -0.12)65.18% (0.123 0.12)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.22% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)13.77% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.92% (-0.146 -0.15)41.08% (0.146 0.15)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)36.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.33% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)73.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 60.26%
    Nice 18.41%
    Draw 21.32%
LyonDrawNice
1-0 @ 10.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.98% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 9.96%
3-0 @ 6.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.58% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 60.26%
1-1 @ 10.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.08% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.32%
0-1 @ 5.07% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.01% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 18.41%

How you voted: Lyon vs Nice

Lyon
57.8%
Draw
22.5%
Nice
19.6%
102
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 8pm
Lyon
2-0
Nice
Dembele (8' pen.), Toko Ekambi (52')

Todibo (50')
Oct 24, 2021 12pm
Nice
3-2
Lyon
Atal (81'), Delort (89' pen.), Guessand (90+1')
Guessand (90+2')
Toko Ekambi (35'), Aouar (68')
Kadewere (85')
May 23, 2021 8pm
Lyon
2-3
Nice
Toko Ekambi (14', 40')
Marcelo (56')
Dolberg (27'), Kamara (50'), Saliba (57')
Thuram (45+1'), Todibo (65')
Dec 19, 2020 8pm
Nice
1-4
Lyon
Gouiri (44')
Thuram (57')
Depay (32' pen.), Kadewere (39'), Toko Ekambi (63'), Aouar (73')
Cornet (66')
Feb 2, 2020 2pm
Nice
2-1
Lyon
Dolberg (33', 64')
Ounas (38'), Claude Maurice (45'), Herelle (71')
Ounas (45')
Toko Ekambi (45')
Antonio Guedes Filho (45'), Da Silva (52')
Marcal (22')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille17113339201936
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
11Auxerre176472426-222
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1751111637-2116
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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