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Ligue 1

Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Oct 23, 2022 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
Nantes

Nice
1 - 1
Nantes

Pepe (90+6' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ganago (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Nice
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 4-1 Brest
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 19.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
NiceDrawNantes
56.9% (-0.061 -0.06)23.36% (0.0039999999999978 0)19.73% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.18% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.43% (0.057000000000002 0.06)49.57% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.41% (0.048999999999999 0.05)71.59% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.8% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)17.2% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.52% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)47.48% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.6% (0.093999999999994 0.09)39.4% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.9% (0.087 0.09)76.09% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Nice 56.89%
    Nantes 19.73%
    Draw 23.36%
NiceDrawNantes
1-0 @ 11.92% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.49% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.53%
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 56.89%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23.36%
0-1 @ 6.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.18% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.94% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 19.73%

How you voted: Nice vs Nantes

Nice
67.6%
Draw
17.6%
Nantes
14.7%
34
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 8pm
Nice
0-1
Nantes

Todibo (42'), Boudaoui (55'), Dante (79'), Lemina (90+3')
Blas (47' pen.)
Kolo (90+3')
Jan 14, 2022 8pm
Nice
2-1
Nantes
Dolberg (21' pen.), Thuram (56')
Dante (44'), Amavi (64')
Girotto (45')
Sylla (15')
Sep 12, 2021 4pm
Nantes
0-2
Nice

Girotto (31'), Da Silva (51')
Dolberg (75'), Gouiri (80')
Boudaoui (33'), Lemina (64'), Dante (65')
Apr 4, 2021 2pm
Nantes
1-2
Nice
Toure (32')
Pallois (43')
Dolberg (11' pen., 29')
Maolida (61'), Benitez (72')
Oct 3, 2020 8pm
Nice
2-1
Nantes
Dante (27'), Thuram (62')
Thuram (28'), Pelmard (45+5')
Louza (45+5' pen.)
Pallois (56')
Girotto (3')
rhs 2.0


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