Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 75.61%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 8.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.04%) and 3-0 (10.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Nantes |
| 75.61% ( | 15.76% ( | 8.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.44% ( | 40.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.05% ( | 62.95% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.93% ( | 9.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.17% ( | 30.83% ( |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.27% ( | 50.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.84% ( | 85.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Nantes |
| 2-0 @ 13.25% ( 1-0 @ 11.04% ( 3-0 @ 10.6% ( 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 3-1 @ 7.2% ( 4-0 @ 6.37% ( 4-1 @ 4.32% ( 5-0 @ 3.06% ( 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 5-1 @ 2.07% ( 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 6-0 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 3.57% Total : 75.6% | 1-1 @ 7.49% ( 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 2-2 @ 3.05% ( Other @ 0.61% Total : 15.76% | 0-1 @ 3.12% ( 1-2 @ 2.54% ( 0-2 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 8.64% |