Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Rennes |
| 34.57% ( | 26.48% ( | 38.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.62% ( | 52.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.93% ( | 74.06% ( |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( | 28.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.28% ( | 64.72% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.7% ( | 26.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.58% ( | 61.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 4-1 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.57% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 10.13% ( 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0-2 @ 6.77% ( 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0-3 @ 3.02% ( 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.94% |