Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.