Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 59.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 18.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.