Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 2.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Moses Simon 35' goal
  • Ignatius Ganago 36' goal
  • Mostafa Mohamed 71' goal
  • Moussa Sissoko 88' goal
  • goal Noah Fadiga 18'

Nantes vs Brest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2022 4.05pm
Rennes 3 - 0 Nantes
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Mostafa Mohamed

Brest

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2022 2.00pm
Brest 1 - 2 Lorient
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Jeremy Le Douaron

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Brest had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result

Nantes 36.51% (+0.22)
Draw 29.27% (+0.12)
Brest 34.22% (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.09% (-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.25% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 62.75% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 17.71% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 82.29% (+0.31)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5 67.16% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 32.84% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 30.59% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 69.4% (+0.09)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 65.64% (-0.45)
Under 0.5 34.36% (+0.44)
Over 1.5 28.94% (-0.48)
Under 1.5 71.06% (+0.48)

Score analysis

Nantes 36.51%
Draw 29.26%
Brest 34.22%
Nantes
1-0 @ 12.56% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 7.47% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.6% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 36.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.42% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 11.28% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.26%
Brest
0-1 @ 12.05% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 34.22%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 31
Apr 10, 2022 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Christophe Herelle 64' yellowcard
  • Brendan Chardonnet 67' goal
  • goal Randal Kolo 10'
  • yellowcard Pedro Chirivella 43'
  • yellowcard Jean-Charles Castelletto 70'
  • yellowcard Fabio Da Silva 90'+4'
Coupe de France
Jan 28, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Ludovic Blas 25' goal
  • Ludovic Blas 53' goal
  • yellowcard Lilian Brassier 33'
  • yellowcard Christophe Herelle 51'
  • yellowcard Brendan Chardonnet 72'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Sep 22, 2021 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ludovic Blas 27' goal
  • Jean-Charles Castelletto 31' yellowcard
  • Pedro Chirivella 55' goal
  • Lilian Brassier 58' goal
  • yellowcard Brendan Chardonnet 52'
  • goal Jeremy Le Douaron 67'
  • yellowcard Lilian Brassier 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 35
May 2, 2021 2.00pm
1
4
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Moses Simon 15' goal
  • Ludovic Blas 27' goal
  • Imran Louza 56' goal
  • Gautier Larsonneur 61' yellowcard
  • Kalifa Coulibaly 62' goal
  • Romain Faivre 83' goal
  • Gaetan Charbonnier 89' yellowcard
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Oct 18, 2020 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Randal Kolo 16' goal
  • Ludovic Blas 30' goal
  • Mehdi Abeid 38' yellowcard
  • Fabio Da Silva 47' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Pallois 67' yellowcard
  • Kader Bamba 79' goal
  • yellowcard Jean-Kevin Duverne 42'
  • yellowcard Hugo Magnetti 60'
  • goal Romain Faivre 68'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 36
May 9, 2020 7.00pm
Stade de la Beaujoire