Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11

Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK

La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
4 - 1
Brest

Simon (35' pen.), Ganago (36'), Mohamed (71'), Sissoko (88')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Fadiga (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nantes 0-4 Freiburg
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 1-2 Lorient
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Brest had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Brest
36.51% ( 0.21)	29.27% ( 0.12)	34.22% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 44.09% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.25% (

-0.41)

62.75% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.71% (

-0.3)

82.29% (

0.3)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.16% (

-0.08)

32.84% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.59% (

-0.09)

69.4% (

0.09)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.64% (

-0.44)

34.36% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.94% (

-0.47)

71.06% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Nantes 36.51%

Brest 34.22%

Draw 29.26%

Nantes	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.51%	1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.26%	0-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.22%