Europa League
Oct 13, 2022 5.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Lukas Kubler 26'
  • goal Michael Gregoritsch 71'
  • goal Jean-Charles Castelletto 82' (OG)
  • goal Jeong Woo-yeong 87'

Nantes vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 6, 2022 8.00pm
Freiburg 2 - 0 Nantes

Freiburg

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 6, 2022 8.00pm
Freiburg 2 - 0 Nantes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result

Nantes 31.53% (+0.13)
Draw 27.49% (+0.01)
Freiburg 40.98% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.58% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.07% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 56.93% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 22.16% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 77.84% (-0.02)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5 66.82% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 33.18% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 30.22% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 69.78% (-0.11)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 72.71% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 27.29% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 37.26% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 62.74% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Nantes 31.53%
Draw 27.48%
Freiburg 40.99%
Nantes
1-0 @ 9.99% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.16% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.51% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.63% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.03% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.71% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9.06% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.48%
Freiburg
0-1 @ 11.76% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.42% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.64% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.31% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 40.99%

Head to Head

Europa League
Oct 6, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Daniel-Kofi Kyereh 48' goal
  • Vincenzo Grifo 72' goal