Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Brest had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Brest |
45.33% ( 0) | 26.24% ( 0) | 28.43% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.81% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.63% ( -0) | 53.36% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.09% ( -0) | 74.9% ( 0) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.53% ( 0) | 23.47% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.51% | 57.49% ( 0) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.39% ( -0) | 33.61% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.74% ( -0.01) | 70.26% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.33% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 8.6% 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |