Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Nice |
| 40.21% ( | 27.35% | 32.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.8% ( | 56.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.75% ( | 77.25% ( |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( | 27.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.15% ( | 62.85% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.83% ( | 32.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.35% ( | 68.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Auxerre | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.96% Total : 40.2% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.81% ( 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 9.99% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 5.67% 1-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.44% |