Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Auxerre |
43.31% (![]() | 26.52% (![]() | 30.17% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.92% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.31% (![]() | 53.68% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.82% (![]() | 75.17% (![]() |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.4% (![]() | 24.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.9% (![]() | 59.09% (![]() |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.52% (![]() | 32.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31% (![]() | 69% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Auxerre |
1-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 8.84% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.86% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.13% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 2.55% Total : 43.31% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.99% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.97% ( ![]() Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.98% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.09% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.86% ( ![]() Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 36 | 11 | 25 | 33 |
2 | Nice | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Reims | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 23 |
6 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Brest | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 22 |
8 | Marseille | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 20 |
9 | NantesNantes | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 |
10 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Metz | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
15 | Toulouse | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 13 |
16 | Lorient | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
17 | Clermont | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 10 |
18 | Lyon | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |