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Ligue 1

Clermont Foot
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Gabriel Montpied
AJ Auxerre

Clermont
2 - 1
Auxerre

Khaoui (55'), Kyei (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jubal (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

All competitions
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-3 Clermont
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Auxerre

All competitions
Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Brest
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.

Result
ClermontDrawAuxerre
43.31% (0.045000000000002 0.05)26.52% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)30.17% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.92% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.31% (0.045000000000002 0.05)53.68% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.82% (0.037000000000003 0.04)75.17% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (0.042000000000002 0.04)24.6% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.9% (0.061 0.06)59.09% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52% (0.0019999999999953 0)32.47% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31% (0.0010000000000012 0)69% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Clermont 43.31%
    Auxerre 30.17%
    Draw 26.52%
ClermontDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 11.2%
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 43.31%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.99% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 8.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 30.17%

How you voted: Clermont vs Auxerre

Clermont
72.0%
Draw
20.0%
Auxerre
8.0%
25
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2021 2pm
Clermont
1-0
Auxerre
Dossou (13')
Hountondji (84')

Autret (20'), Hein (84')
Sep 12, 2020 6pm
Auxerre
0-1
Clermont
Dossou (84')
Hountondji (54'), Iglesias (74')
Feb 4, 2020 8.05pm
Auxerre
0-0
Clermont

Arcus (23'), Sakhi (24')

N'Simba (19'), Zedadka (26'), Magnin (90')
Aug 23, 2019 7pm
Clermont
1-1
Auxerre
Grbic (21' pen.)
Merdji (75')
Michel (19'), Sakhi (52'), Marcelin (79')
Feb 15, 2019 7pm
Auxerre
1-0
Clermont
Fomba (89')
Arcus (34'), Yattara (34')

Gastien (73'), Sissoko (76')
Laporte (85')
rhs 2.0


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