Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Nice |
33.53% ( -0.06) | 27.86% ( 0.01) | 38.61% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 48% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.1% ( -0.05) | 57.9% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.39% ( -0.04) | 78.61% ( 0.04) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.7% ( -0.07) | 32.3% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.2% ( -0.07) | 68.8% ( 0.07) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.9% ( 0) | 29.1% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.97% ( 0) | 65.02% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.53% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 38.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |