Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Nice |
33.53% ( -0.06) | 27.86% ( 0.01) | 38.61% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 48% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.1% ( -0.05) | 57.9% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.39% ( -0.04) | 78.61% ( 0.04) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.7% ( -0.07) | 32.3% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.2% ( -0.07) | 68.8% ( 0.07) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.9% ( 0) | 29.1% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.97% ( 0) | 65.02% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.53% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 38.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 29 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 26 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
7 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 23 |
8 | Auxerre | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 20 |
9 | Reims | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Toulouse | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |