Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Nice |
| 33.53% ( | 27.86% ( | 38.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.1% ( | 57.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.39% ( | 78.61% ( |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.7% ( | 32.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.2% ( | 68.8% ( |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( | 29.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.97% ( | 65.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 7.41% ( 2-0 @ 6% ( 3-1 @ 2.79% ( 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 3-2 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.53% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0-0 @ 9.4% ( 2-2 @ 4.57% ( Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 11.6% ( 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0-2 @ 7.16% ( 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.66% Total : 38.61% |