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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Oct 30, 2022 at 4.05pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Nice

Lorient
1 - 2
Nice

Ouattara (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Atal (61'), Laborde (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Troyes 2-2 Lorient
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 2-1 Partizan
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawNice
33.53% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)27.86% (0.013000000000002 0.01)38.61% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Both teams to score 48% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.1% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)57.9% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.39% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)78.61% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)32.3% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)68.8% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.1% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.97% (0.00099999999999767 0)65.02% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 33.53%
    Nice 38.61%
    Draw 27.86%
LorientDrawNice
1-0 @ 10.62%
2-1 @ 7.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 33.53%
1-1 @ 13.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.4% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 11.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.09% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.16% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 38.61%

How you voted: Lorient vs Nice

Lorient
78.0%
Draw
15.4%
Nice
6.6%
91
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 12pm
Nice
2-1
Lorient
Delort (54' pen., 88')
Daniliuc (45'), Thuram (78')
Lauriente (61')
Jenz (53')
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Lorient
1-0
Nice
Monconduit (23')
Jenz (62')
Jenz (69')

Kluivert (22'), Rosario (60'), Delort (78'), Atal (79')
Mar 14, 2021 2pm
Lorient
1-1
Nice
Wissa (66')
Boisgard (3'), Abergel (73')
Maolida (58')
Kamara (42'), Schneiderlin (73')
Dec 23, 2020 6pm
Nice
2-2
Lorient
Lotomba (18'), Reine-Adelaide (34')
Boudaoui (73'), Lotomba (90'), Reine-Adelaide (90+3')
Bambu (81')
Moffi (49'), Grbic (82' pen.)
Laporte (38'), Monconduit (44'), Lemoine (45+1'), Le Fee (90+3')
Feb 18, 2017 7pm
Lorient
0-1
Nice

Marveaux (29'), Bellugou (53'), Moukandjo (68')
Donis (16')
Obbadi (43'), Cardinale (79')
Balotelli (69')
rhs 2.0


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