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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Lyon
Montpellier
1 - 2
Lyon
Wahi (70')
Savanier (59'), Wahi (74')
Mavididi (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aouar (33'), Lacazette (90')
Aouar (7'), Mendes (49')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 1-0 Montpellier
Saturday, October 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 3-2 Lyon
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-2 Lyon

There were plenty of things to like about Lyon's first performance under Blanc, and facing a Montpellier side who are also in disarray could be just the ticket for Les Gones to end their winless habit. It is always difficult to predict the outcome of matches where two newly-hired managers pit their wits against one another, but the firepower at Blanc's disposal could see him come out on top over Montpellier's Pitau, whose own difference makers in the final third can spark an intriguing contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 54.09%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.5%) and 0-1 (7.49%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon in this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLyon
24.3% (-0.135 -0.14) 21.61% (-0.247 -0.25) 54.09% (0.381 0.38)
Both teams to score 62.52% (0.737 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.76% (1.038 1.04)36.24% (-1.039 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.64% (1.129 1.13)58.35% (-1.13 -1.13)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.28% (0.459 0.46)27.72% (-0.459 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (0.585 0.59)63.28% (-0.587 -0.59)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.5% (0.473 0.47)13.5% (-0.474 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.46% (0.94 0.94)40.54% (-0.941 -0.94)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 24.3%
    Lyon 54.09%
    Draw 21.61%
Montpellier HSCDrawLyon
2-1 @ 6.17% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-0 @ 4.8% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-0 @ 3.08% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.64% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 24.3%
1-1 @ 9.62% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.059 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.74% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.76% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.61%
1-2 @ 9.63% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-1 @ 7.49% (-0.256 -0.26)
1-3 @ 6.43% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 5.01% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.12% (0.11 0.11)
1-4 @ 3.22% (0.1 0.1)
0-4 @ 2.51% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 2.06% (0.089 0.09)
1-5 @ 1.29% (0.061 0.06)
0-5 @ 1% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 54.09%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lyon

Montpellier HSC
16.3%
Draw
16.3%
Lyon
67.3%
49
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 4pm
Lyon
5-2
Montpellier
Dembele (26'), Mendes (43'), Aouar (63', 90+1'), Toko Ekambi (68')
Boateng (75'), Gusto (89')
Wahi (45+1'), Savanier (45+3' pen.)
Oyongo (28'), Cozza (42')
Nov 28, 2021 4pm
Montpellier
0-1
Lyon

Ferri (68')
Paqueta (17')
Slimani (29'), Caqueret (40'), Boateng (45'), Palmieri (67')
Feb 13, 2021 8pm
Sep 15, 2020 8pm
Montpellier
2-1
Lyon
Savanier (38' pen., 59')
Delort (7'), Ferri (62'), Hilton (71')
Hilton (81')
Depay (82' pen.)
Guimaraes (36'), Toko Ekambi (45+2')
Aouar (44')
May 9, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
FT
Patriots
21-18
Steelers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14103136112533
2Nice14851145929
3MonacoMonaco1483329191027
4Lille147521911826
5Reims147252019123
6Lens146441915422
7Brest146441815322
8Marseille145541814420
9NantesNantes145361823-518
10Le HavreLe Havre143741215-316
11Metz144461522-716
12Rennes143651919015
13StrasbourgStrasbourg143561219-714
14Montpellier HSCMontpellier143561720-313
15Toulouse142751418-413
16Lorient142661825-712
17Clermont14248921-1210
18Lyon141491127-167

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