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Lens vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result
Lens
40.35%
▲
(+0.47)
Draw
24.41%
▲
(+0.08)
Lyon
35.24%
▼
(-0.55)
Both Teams to Score:
59.68%
▼
(-0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.91%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 2.5
43.09%
▲
(+0.47)
Over 3.5
34.51%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 3.5
65.48%
▲
(+0.46)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5
78.58%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
21.42%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
45.57%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
54.42%
▼
(-0.04)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5
75.95%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 0.5
24.05%
▲
(+0.52)
Over 1.5
41.68%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 1.5
58.32%
▲
(+0.74)
Score analysis
Lens
40.35%
Draw
24.41%
Lyon
35.24%
Lens
2-1
@
8.71%
▲
(+0.06)
1-0 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 40.35%
1-0 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 40.35%
Draw
1-1
@
11.31%
▲
(+0.08)
2-2 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.41%
2-2 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.41%
Lyon
1-2
@
8.06%
▼
(-0.08)
0-1 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.24%
0-1 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.24%
Emerson Palmieri
70'
Islam Slimani
90'