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Ligue 1

Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2022 at 12pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Monaco

Montpellier
0 - 2
Monaco

FT(HT: 0-1)
Embolo (45+1'), Boadu (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Toulouse 4-2 Montpellier
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Monaco

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 3-1 Trabzonspor
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawMonaco
23.63% (-0.041 -0.04)22.8% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)53.56% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.48% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.47% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)42.53% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.07% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)64.93% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)31.69% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.89% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)68.1% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14%15.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.94% (0.0010000000000048 0)45.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 23.64%
    Monaco 53.56%
    Draw 22.8%
Montpellier HSCDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 6.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.34% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 23.64%
1-1 @ 10.63%
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.8%
1-2 @ 9.79% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 9.25% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.52% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 5.23% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 53.56%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Monaco

Montpellier HSC
18.5%
Draw
9.2%
Monaco
72.3%
65
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 4.05pm
Montpellier
3-2
Monaco
Wahi (13'), Mavididi (32', 90+1')
Mavididi (90+1'), Sambia (90+1')
Ben Yedder (34'), Vanderson (82')
Henrique (10'), Aguilar (65')
Oct 24, 2021 4pm
Monaco
3-1
Montpellier
Volland (12'), Ben Yedder (17'), Martins (62')
Maripan (24')
Savanier (81' pen.)
Cozza (43'), Ristic (52'), Makouana (66'), Savanier (87')
Jan 15, 2021 8pm
Montpellier
2-3
Monaco
Wahi (64'), Delort (69')
Chotard (83'), Savanier (90')
Volland (24'), Ben Yedder (35', 61')
Fofana (17'), Aguilar (59'), Maripan (88')
Oct 18, 2020 2pm
Monaco
1-1
Montpellier
Ben Yedder (70' pen.)
Pellegri (73'), Geubbels (90+3')
Mavididi (51')
Souquet (90+5')
Savanier (19')
Feb 14, 2020 7.45pm
Monaco
1-0
Montpellier
Slimani (52')
Slimani (22')

Savanier (54'), Le Tallec (86')