Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 15.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Ferencvaros win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.