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Ligue 1

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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Montpellier

Lens
1 - 0
Montpellier

Said (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Lens
Sunday, October 9 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, October 9 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 68.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 12.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawMontpellier HSC
68.08% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)19.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)12.55% (0.019 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.87% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.36% (0.021000000000001 0.02)45.63% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.04% (0.018999999999998 0.02)67.96% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.63% (0.0010000000000048 0)12.37% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.77% (0.0020000000000024 0)38.22% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.49% (0.039999999999999 0.04)46.5% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.89% (0.031000000000002 0.03)82.11% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lens 68.08%
    Montpellier HSC 12.55%
    Draw 19.36%
LensDrawMontpellier HSC
2-0 @ 12.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 12.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 8.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.57% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 68.08%
1-1 @ 9.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 3.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 19.36%
0-1 @ 4.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 3.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 12.55%

How you voted: Lens vs Montpellier

Lens
80.3%
Draw
9.8%
Montpellier HSC
9.8%
61
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Lens
2-0
Montpellier
Costa (37'), Ganago (75')
Costa (70')
Oct 17, 2021 4pm
Montpellier
1-0
Lens
Mavididi (47')
Chotard (58'), Esteve (67'), Ferri (68')
Ferri (86')

Wooh (29'), Costa (62'), Jean (77'), Said (81')
Jan 30, 2021 4pm
Montpellier
1-2
Lens
Wahi (78')
Mavididi (15'), Mendes (16'), Laborde (18'), Hilton (48')
Doucoure (7'), Kakuta (67')
Sotoca (51'), Banza (55'), Mauricio (83'), Haidara (90')
Dec 12, 2020 8pm
Lens
2-3
Montpellier
Omlin (36' og.), Kakuta (50' pen.)
Cahuzac (75')
Mavididi (16'), Mendes (26'), Laborde (69')
Mendes (38')
May 10, 2015 1pm
Lens
0-1
Montpellier

Landre (55')
Landre (65')
Mounier (91')
Martin (58'), Tiene (86')
> Match Report