Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Lens had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match.