Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10

Oct 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
1 - 0
Lens

David (44' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Lille
Sunday, October 2 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 1-0 Lyon
Sunday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Lens had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Lens
36.83% ( 0)	27.01% ( 0)	36.16% ( -0)

Both teams to score 50.89% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.6% (

-0)

54.4% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.23% (

-0)

75.77%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.54% (

-0)

28.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.77% (

-0)

64.23%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.14% (

-0)

28.86% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.27% (

-0)

64.72% (

Score Analysis

Lille 36.82%

Lens 36.15%

Draw 27%

Lille	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 3.38% 3-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.71% Total : 36.82%	1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.96% Total : 27%	0-1 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 3.3% 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.15%